Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.524347e-05 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000081 0.000092 0.000105
2025-01-19 3.318280e-05 0.000043 0.000054 0.000067 0.000083 0.000100 0.000121
2025-01-26 2.570583e-05 0.000036 0.000049 0.000065 0.000085 0.000108 0.000137
2025-02-02 2.237459e-05 0.000034 0.000048 0.000068 0.000092 0.000122 0.000160
2025-02-09 1.884364e-05 0.000031 0.000046 0.000068 0.000097 0.000132 0.000177
2025-02-16 1.784538e-05 0.000031 0.000048 0.000074 0.000107 0.000149 0.000205
2025-02-23 1.559848e-05 0.000029 0.000047 0.000075 0.000112 0.000160 0.000224
2025-03-02 1.221290e-05 0.000024 0.000043 0.000070 0.000109 0.000160 0.000230
2025-03-09 9.859926e-06 0.000021 0.000039 0.000067 0.000108 0.000163 0.000239
2025-03-16 8.107431e-06 0.000019 0.000037 0.000066 0.000108 0.000167 0.000249
2025-03-23 6.815484e-06 0.000017 0.000035 0.000065 0.000110 0.000172 0.000261
2025-03-30 5.625676e-06 0.000015 0.000033 0.000063 0.000110 0.000176 0.000271
2025-04-06 4.185144e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000061 0.000110 0.000180 0.000284
2025-04-13 2.966854e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000058 0.000108 0.000183 0.000295
2025-04-20 2.155895e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000056 0.000109 0.000188 0.000310
2025-04-27 1.866685e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000058 0.000116 0.000204 0.000340
2025-05-04 1.464080e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000059 0.000120 0.000214 0.000362
2025-05-11 1.411244e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000063 0.000131 0.000237 0.000403
2025-05-18 1.139278e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000064 0.000136 0.000249 0.000428
2025-05-25 7.169386e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000060 0.000132 0.000248 0.000434
2025-06-01 4.645948e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000058 0.000131 0.000250 0.000445
2025-06-08 3.031042e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000056 0.000131 0.000255 0.000459
2025-06-15 2.015845e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000055 0.000132 0.000261 0.000477